Angel broking analyses the upcoming Result Season Expectations and modelling investments. This may be taken only for asset allocation and distribution of Liquid cash.
It seems technically markets are pricing a very slow and sticky Bear market and economic conditions, where in the Sharp rallies find More Sellers and dips find Less Buyers. Thus is showing on the Charts as Lower Top and Lower Bottom. Bear Market rallies are deceptive and active Investors should try to fish out the wrong Investments and Exits strategies.
It seems market is in for a sharp Bear Rally, Which might take the market to the new Top and Might touch the 100 DMA and thereafter the 200 DMA. The Tendency of the Market to Spring Surprises shall again be evident in the Coming Days and the rally may extend to the RBI Meet on 25th, End of the Expiry and OF Course Divali. This Hunch lies from the Experience and some Chart Gazing. The Character of the Rally is take the participants Unaware and shall be Packed with Surprises and Lending Hopes of the Hope.
In such rallies the oversold Stock and Under owned stocks rally the hardest and exposing High Risk- High return senses. The Upcoming Result season is likely to add more Fuel to this Risky Rallies.
Allthough, the Rally is an Great Chance to Make Money and but is embedded with huge Risk.
It well be advisable any Investor to calculate the Chances to Succeed this Rough Ride and be Very Nimble Footed in Dealings and Successfully Surfing this Waves and Tides.
Economic out Look
The Fundamentals of Economy are not changed nor does any of the issues are solved to change the bearish views to be altered.
1) It is reasonable to believe that Euro Zone problems are still have to Met the Destiny and Nothing seems to be being done or effectively working towards the Resolution.This Week, it was widely expected that ECB might reduce the Interest rates, which it hiked twice this Year. But, it did not do so. Finland was given Collateral for the EFSF Lending. Any Special treatment to a particular nation within the group of Nations is likely to create rules within rules and likely to divide more. The Greece has added extra taxes to be recovered through Electricity Bills and the Commotion within that nation to rise further. The Down grade Of New Zealand , British banks and Italian banks likely to make things tougher for the Unity to Withstand the test of time.
2) The US and North American markets are showing a Distinct recessionary trend as the Unemployment is sustaining the Levels, Sluggish Housing Market and Confidence to Conduct Businesses, Consumers is waning The Huge Pressure on the Lenders to Lend by US FED policies have put the US banking, Insurance sector in a Dichotomous situation of a kind. The Commodity Companies are likely to Show good Bottom line but a dark clouds hovering on the face. US Tech giants are soon likely to go for the Tech War. The Commodity Volatility and Price Mis-matches are going to hurt budding companies.
3) Asian Engines are slowing down and many expect a Hard Fall in this Quarter and in the upcoming times. India, is particularly facing Stagflation and government undergoing Policy Paralysis. The over ambitious and Unrealistic targeting of the higher GDP growth, Budgetary Provisioning and impractical analysis has drawn the situation to this impasse. The Diwali Shopping Season is likely to be the Game Changer and possibly may bring in the Realism which is essential for the circumstances in hand.
China is said to facing the similar woes, Japan reels under the Natural Disaster and Currency profligacy. The Middle Eastern and African countries have there own political crisis running the open wound.
Investors would do well to remain defensive till one or more indicators turns positive till Wait SINE DIE..
It seems technically markets are pricing a very slow and sticky Bear market and economic conditions, where in the Sharp rallies find More Sellers and dips find Less Buyers. Thus is showing on the Charts as Lower Top and Lower Bottom. Bear Market rallies are deceptive and active Investors should try to fish out the wrong Investments and Exits strategies.
It seems market is in for a sharp Bear Rally, Which might take the market to the new Top and Might touch the 100 DMA and thereafter the 200 DMA. The Tendency of the Market to Spring Surprises shall again be evident in the Coming Days and the rally may extend to the RBI Meet on 25th, End of the Expiry and OF Course Divali. This Hunch lies from the Experience and some Chart Gazing. The Character of the Rally is take the participants Unaware and shall be Packed with Surprises and Lending Hopes of the Hope.
In such rallies the oversold Stock and Under owned stocks rally the hardest and exposing High Risk- High return senses. The Upcoming Result season is likely to add more Fuel to this Risky Rallies.
Allthough, the Rally is an Great Chance to Make Money and but is embedded with huge Risk.
It well be advisable any Investor to calculate the Chances to Succeed this Rough Ride and be Very Nimble Footed in Dealings and Successfully Surfing this Waves and Tides.
Economic out Look
The Fundamentals of Economy are not changed nor does any of the issues are solved to change the bearish views to be altered.
1) It is reasonable to believe that Euro Zone problems are still have to Met the Destiny and Nothing seems to be being done or effectively working towards the Resolution.This Week, it was widely expected that ECB might reduce the Interest rates, which it hiked twice this Year. But, it did not do so. Finland was given Collateral for the EFSF Lending. Any Special treatment to a particular nation within the group of Nations is likely to create rules within rules and likely to divide more. The Greece has added extra taxes to be recovered through Electricity Bills and the Commotion within that nation to rise further. The Down grade Of New Zealand , British banks and Italian banks likely to make things tougher for the Unity to Withstand the test of time.
2) The US and North American markets are showing a Distinct recessionary trend as the Unemployment is sustaining the Levels, Sluggish Housing Market and Confidence to Conduct Businesses, Consumers is waning The Huge Pressure on the Lenders to Lend by US FED policies have put the US banking, Insurance sector in a Dichotomous situation of a kind. The Commodity Companies are likely to Show good Bottom line but a dark clouds hovering on the face. US Tech giants are soon likely to go for the Tech War. The Commodity Volatility and Price Mis-matches are going to hurt budding companies.
3) Asian Engines are slowing down and many expect a Hard Fall in this Quarter and in the upcoming times. India, is particularly facing Stagflation and government undergoing Policy Paralysis. The over ambitious and Unrealistic targeting of the higher GDP growth, Budgetary Provisioning and impractical analysis has drawn the situation to this impasse. The Diwali Shopping Season is likely to be the Game Changer and possibly may bring in the Realism which is essential for the circumstances in hand.
China is said to facing the similar woes, Japan reels under the Natural Disaster and Currency profligacy. The Middle Eastern and African countries have there own political crisis running the open wound.
Investors would do well to remain defensive till one or more indicators turns positive till Wait SINE DIE..
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