US Economy in Adverse Case of FED.?

The Financial Development Report 2012

Latest FOMC Minutes

World Economic Forum ' Transparency for Inclusive Governance'

Alan Greenspan ' Fiscal Cliff is Painful '

Showing posts with label Brasil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brasil. Show all posts

Friday, September 23, 2011

India initiate a drab BRIC statement

BRICS Finance Ministers’ Joint Communiqué Issued at the end of Meeting in WashingtonFollowing is the text of the BRICS Finance Ministers’ Joint Communique issued at the end of the meeting in Washington, yesterday:

“We, the BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors, met on September 22, 2011 in Washington DC, USA, amid growing concern regarding the state of the global economy.

While BRICS countries recovered quickly from the 2008-09 global financial crisis, some of us have been subject to inflationary pressures and growth prospects of all our countries have been dampened by global market instability. In advanced countries, the build up of sovereign debt and concerns regarding medium to long-term plans of fiscal adjustment are creating an uncertain environment for global growth. Also, excessive liquidity from aggressive policy actions taken by central banks to stabilize their domestic economies has been spilling over into emerging market economies, fostering excessive volatility in capital flows and commodity prices.

The immediate problem at hand is to get growth back on track in developed countries. In this context we welcome the recent fiscal package announced by USA as well as the decisions taken by Euro area countries to address financial tensions, notably by making the EFSF flexible. It is critical for advanced economies to adopt responsible macroeconomic and financial policies, avoid creating excessive global liquidity and undertake structural reforms to lift growth create jobs and reduce imbalances.

The current situation requires decisive actions. We are taking necessary steps to secure economic growth, maintain financial stability and contain inflation. We are also determined to speed up structural reform to sustain strong growth which would advance development and poverty reduction at home and benefit global growth and rebalancing. The contribution of BRICS countries and other emerging market economies to global growth is rising and will increase further. However, global rebalancing will take time and its impact may not be felt sufficiently in the short-term. We will also work to intensify trade and investment flows among our countries to build upon our synergies.

The BRICS are open to consider making additional efforts in working with other countries and International Financial Institutions in order to address the present challenges to global financial stability, depending on individual country circumstances.

We are concerned with the slow pace of quota and governance reforms in the IMF. The implementation of the 2010 reform is lagging. We must also move ahead with the comprehensive review of the quota formula by January 2013 and the completion of the next review of quotas by January 2014. This is needed to increase the legitimacy and effectiveness of the Fund. We reiterate our support for measures to protect the voice and representation of the IMF’s poorest members. We call on the IMF to make its surveillance more integrated and evenhanded.

Multilateral Development Banks are considered by developing countries as important partners in helping them meet their long term development finance needs. In the current global economic environment, the Banks need to mobilize more resources to increase their assistance to low income and other developing countries including finding ways of expanding their lending capacity, so that development finance is not neglected.

In the face of a slowdown of global economic growth, it is necessary to maintain international policy co-operation and co-ordination. We remain committed to work with the international community, including making contributions to the G20 Cannes Action Plan consistent with national policy frameworks to ensure strong, sustainable and balanced growth. We shall work together in searching for a coordinated solution to the current challenges as we did in 2008-09.”

DSM/SS/GN
(Release ID :76189)

Friday, September 16, 2011

Mexico, Brasil, and Latin America growth retards : S & P


Latin America's Growth Outlook Dampens Amid Global Uncertainty

Latin America's growth prospects have weakened following the slowing of growth among advanced economies and other emerging markets. Standard & Poor's Ratings Services expects real GDP in the region to rise by 4.2% in 2011 and 3.8% in 2012--down from our previous forecasts of 4.5% and 4.2%, respectively, in June.

The slower growth outlook reflects our expectations that the global slowdown will hurt both domestic demand and net exports across the region. We believe that weaker growth in the U.S. will hit growth in Mexico and Central America harder because of trade and worker remittance ties to the country. In South America, larger trade links with Asia and the Eurozone mean that expectations for slower growth in China, other parts of Asia, and Europe will have a greater impact.

The risk of a more pronounced global economic crisis stemming from the sovereign debt crisis in Europe and its effect on the European banking system also weigh heavily on market sentiment and provide additional downside risk. More global risk aversion could prompt a slowdown or reversal of foreign capital flows to Latin America, which have contributed to abundant liquidity in the region.

While Latin America cannot escape a global slowdown, its governments do have some flexibility to soften any external hits through policy actions. The region demonstrated unprecedented resilience amid the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and will have a projected $680 billion in international reserves by year-end to help cover external financing for both the public and private sectors. Fiscal deficits, while still not back to their pre-2008 levels, are relatively low, and Brazil and Peru already plan for more expansionary fiscal policies over the next year.

Central banks are poised to cut monetary policy base rates, responding to expectations of slower growth and some easing of inflation. In a controversial action, given that inflation was running significantly above its target, Brazil initiated an easing cycle at the end of August, specifically citing the deteriorating global economy. Central banks in Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Peru, where actual and projected inflation is lower, have all voiced similar concerns and seem prepared to cut rates later this year or in 2012.

India to regroup BRICs, in G-20 at Washington


India Convenes meeting of BRICS Finance Ministers in Washington DC on September 22, 2011;
BRICS to Coordinate in addressing the Evolving Economic And Financial Situation In The Various Countries: Says Finance Minister
The Union Finance Minister Shri Pranab Mukherjee said that India is convening a meeting of BRICS Finance Ministers in Washington DC on September 22, 2011 on the sidelines of the Fund-Bank and G-20 Meetings. The Finance Minister said that we would explore the manner in which BRICS could coordinate in addressing the evolving economic and financial situation in the various countries of the world. The Finance Minister Shri Mukherjee said that the objective of the meeting is to discuss our concerns regarding the current state of the Global Economy and our Policy Response. Shri Mukherjee said that we will discuss the progress on the report commissioned by India on the role that BRICS can play in the global economy going forward, and also our role in the international financial institutions such as IMF and the World Bank.

DSM/SS
(Release ID :76054)